Portfolio Design Contest Champion #1 -- Lowest Drawdown
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In November 2013, a Portfolio Design Contest was held by the President & Chief Sector Surfer, Scott Juds, to identify the best strategies created by SectorSurfer users.
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Mosier's Vanguard Income Portfolio -- Lowest Drawdown Risk
This risk-averse, conservative portfolio is comprised of Vanguard mutual funds with emphasis on preservation of capital and steady income. The portfolio had one losing year in 2000 (-.23%) and just five fractional or single-digit trading losses since 1988. For those who recall the chilling reality of losing a large portion of ''diversified'' retirement funds during the market meltdowns, this portfolio is designed to provide the ultimate in safety as a safe harbor during inevitable market storms.
Would you like to learn a better way to select funds? Mosier's portfolio is based upon "Tactical Diversification." Not sure what this is? No problem, click the button on the right for answers. >>
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Portfolio ConstructionThe Portfolio (Chart #1) holds four diversified Vanguard Income Strategies, (Charts #2, #3, #4 and %5) which are rebalanced quarterly to their assigned allocation weights, 25% for each of the four Strategies. An important requirement is that each of the four Strategies selects the one, and only one, best-of-breed fund in its class to represent the Strategy in the overall Portfolio.
Underlying StrategiesEach of the four underlying Strategies, (Charts #2, #3, #4 and #5), is configured with a set of up to 12 funds, each representing a different slice of Vanguards's income fund management style. SectorSurfer's algorithms determine which fund is designated best-of-breed based on its trend leadership. The yellow line on each chart plots the performance of the strategy, which owns only the designated best-of-breed fund at any given time. This is True Sector Rotation (or serial diversification) and is a powerful investment ally best appreciated through its performance.
Portfolio PerformanceThe Vanguard Funds Portfolio chart (Chart #1) plots the performance of each of the contributing strategies with the portfolio's net performance in yellow and the S&P500's performance in white.
The overall benefit of Tactical Diversification for this portfolio, relative to the AGG bond ETF, includes: (a) 6% higher annualized return, (b) 1.9 times better Sharpe ratio, and (c) a 10-year maximum drawdown of only 6%. Now you know why this fund was selected as #1 Champion for this contest! |
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